Prelude
LIVE PERFORMANCE
An automated trading system for Kalshi prediction markets. Models short-term Bitcoin
price moves using a multi-exchange feed, EWMA volatility, and momentum signals to price
15-minute BTC contracts. Bets are sized with the Kelly criterion and managed with
stop-losses, circuit breakers, and data-backed trading windows. Win rate and P/L reflect
only trades placed after trading windows were implemented โ prior unfiltered data excluded.
Account balances are private.
๐งช Paper Bot โ Aggressive Variant (virtual $200)
โ๏ธ Strategy Comparison normalized by stake