Prelude LIVE PERFORMANCE

An automated trading system for Kalshi prediction markets. Models short-term Bitcoin price moves using a multi-exchange feed, EWMA volatility, and momentum signals to price 15-minute BTC contracts. Bets are sized with the Kelly criterion and managed with stop-losses, circuit breakers, and data-backed trading windows. Win rate and P/L reflect only trades placed after trading windows were implemented โ€” prior unfiltered data excluded. Account balances are private.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Live Strategy

๐Ÿงช Paper Bot โ€” Aggressive Variant (virtual $200)

โš–๏ธ Strategy Comparison normalized by stake

Performance figures are real but account balances are intentionally hidden.
Not financial advice. Built as a personal research project.